Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.698762 0.802381 0.915391 1.047703 1.198278 1.364220 1.560881
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.572019 0.718166 0.891389 1.111454 1.383202 1.707393 2.123139
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.479302 0.653282 0.875835 1.180416 1.585382 2.104206 2.818198
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.391840 0.576838 0.830955 1.203634 1.734141 2.459765 3.524836
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.332360 0.525567 0.809043 1.252115 1.923501 2.898208 4.414978
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.273942 0.463538 0.759551 1.250723 2.039719 3.250369 5.238966
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.234231 0.422165 0.733023 1.278154 2.202150 3.693714 6.267686
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.193644 0.370802 0.680464 1.252870 2.273787 4.002626 7.127833
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.172718 0.349663 0.674995 1.305990 2.484726 4.569231 8.498593
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.157108 0.335158 0.678423 1.374808 2.732986 5.233346 10.132822
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.137934 0.309665 0.656369 1.391038 2.884750 5.743044 11.555996
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.120062 0.283176 0.627450 1.388152 2.997647 6.193282 12.926335
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.104874 0.259828 0.601656 1.388941 3.121528 6.688837 14.470705
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.092526 0.240431 0.580942 1.397175 3.262634 7.239440 16.207206
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.083668 0.227545 0.572534 1.431501 3.466125 7.948308 18.376460
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.073551 0.209338 0.548389 1.425014 3.576318 8.471632 20.216866
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066961 0.198943 0.541301 1.458374 3.784790 9.241133 22.713026
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058794 0.182438 0.515759 1.441035 3.867717 9.734269 24.639861
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053350 0.172494 0.505570 1.461728 4.048985 10.483638 27.276030
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.046433 0.156602 0.476262 1.425905 4.078610 10.868836 29.076457
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043546 0.152541 0.479515 1.481112 4.359459 11.918478 32.681669
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041472 0.150651 0.488782 1.555275 4.703971 13.176558 36.986441
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037869 0.142846 0.478866 1.571173 4.887011 14.035213 40.352944